Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 23, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Pepsi Center, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 | ATL | +3.5 | 207.5 | +144 |
| 716 | DEN | -3.5 | -160 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 50% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 70% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 60% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +3.5 | Power Rating Model | Atlanta loses by 0.1 | |
| DEN -3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Denver 58% odds to cover | |
| ATL +3.5 | Decision Tree | Atlanta 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 207.5 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 207.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +142 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.086 | 1.085 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.2% | 51.3% | |
| Turnover % | 10.8% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.0% | 26.1% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.292 | 0.389 | |
| Points/Game | 102.1 | 107.6 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.5 | +5.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.037 | 1.034 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.1% | 49.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.9% | 13.3% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.7% | 72.5% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.276 | 0.320 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.6 | 102.5 | |
| Block % | 6.3% | 6.0% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.0% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 41-23 | 44-21 | |
| vs Division | 5-7 | 10-4 | |
| vs Conference | 22-14 | 27-14 | |
| Streak | W1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 25-7 | 28-5 | |
| Away | 16-16 | 16-16 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-28-0 | 30-30-5 | |
| vs Division | 4-8-0 | 6-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 21-15-0 | 17-19-5 | |
| Streak | L4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-3-2 | |
| Home | 19-13-0 | 17-15-1 | |
| Away | 17-15-0 | 13-15-4 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||