Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 4, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Arco Arena, Sacramento, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 | ATL | -5.5 | 206.5 | -236 |
| 518 | SAC | +5.5 | +216 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Rating Model | Atlanta 72% odds to win | |
| Sacramento | Similar Games - Game Winners | Sacramento 69% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL -5.5 | Power Rating Model | Atlanta wins by 6.1 | |
| SAC +5.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Sacramento 59% odds to cover | |
| SAC +5.5 | Decision Tree | Sacramento 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 206.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 206.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL -236 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.085 | 1.027 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.1% | 49.2% | |
| Turnover % | 10.8% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.9% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.291 | 0.300 | |
| Points/Game | 102.1 | 100.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.5 | -4.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.3 | 100.1 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.037 | 1.070 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 50.1% | 50.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.1% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.0% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.276 | 0.325 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.6 | 104.9 | |
| Block % | 6.3% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.0% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 40-23 | 22-43 | |
| vs Division | 4-7 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 21-14 | 13-27 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 25-7 | 16-15 | |
| Away | 15-16 | 6-28 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | SAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-27-0 | 33-29-3 | |
| vs Division | 4-7-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 21-14-0 | 23-14-3 | |
| Streak | L3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 19-13-0 | 15-15-1 | |
| Away | 17-14-0 | 18-14-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||