Atlanta at New Orleans: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jan 29, 2012 7:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: Atlanta by 2.5, Total Points: 176.5

Matchup Menu: ATL @ NO

More Games From Jan 29, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL NO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ATL NO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 89.0 87.4
Field Goal % 46.0% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 48.4 53.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 40.6 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 40.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 23.6
Free Throw % 78.3% 77.4%
Ball Control ATL NO
Rebounds 46.4 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 10.9
Turnovers 12.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.8
Steals 5.9 7.6
Fouls 16.8 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL NO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ATL NO
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 29.1%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.4%
Turnover 12.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL NO
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 24.4%