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Atlanta at New Orleans

  Sunday Jan 29, 2012 - 7:00 pm - New Orleans, LA | Odds: Atlanta by 2.5, Total Points: 176.5 | Team Pages: ATL | NOH

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL NOH
Points 81.1 99.2
Total Points   180.3
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 68.4
Points From 3-Pointers 32.0 9.1
Points From Free Throws 8.8 21.6

Shooting ATL NOH
Field Goals Made 30.8 37.3
Field Goals Attempted 101.3 109.0
Field Goal % 30.4% 34.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 34.2
2 Pointers Attempted 82.5 85.6
2 Point Shooting % 24.4% 40.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 3.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 56.7% 13.0%
Free Throws Made 8.8 21.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 44.7
Free Throw % 52.9% 48.4%

Ball Control ATL NOH
Rebounds 65.5 85.2
Rebounds - Defensive 43.2 44.8
Rebounds - Offensive 22.3 40.4
Turnovers 17.1 4.8
Blocked Shots 11.7 37.3
Steals 4.1 12.5
Fouls 18.3 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +2.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL NOH
Total Possessions 97.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 133.1

% of Possessions with ATL NOH
2 Point Attempt 61.2% 60.0%
3 Point Attempt 14.0% 16.4%
Player Fouled 12.7% 18.8%
Turnover 17.5% 4.9%
Opponent Steal 12.8% 4.2%

Odds Per Shot Taken ATL NOH
Shot Blocked 35.4% 13.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 48.3%