Game Information
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | New Orleans Arena, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 | ATL | -5.0 | 203.5 | -203 |
| 706 | NOR | +5.0 | +182 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Rating Model | Atlanta 70% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games - Game Winners | Atlanta 73% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 72% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL -5.0 | Power Rating Model | Atlanta wins by 5.6 | |
| ATL -5.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Atlanta 53% odds to cover | |
| NOR +5.0 | Decision Tree | New Orleans 58% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 203.5 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 203.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL -203 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.089 | 1.041 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.6% | 50.2% | |
| Turnover % | 10.9% | 12.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.8% | 24.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.290 | 0.241 | |
| Points/Game | 102.4 | 100.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.9 | -2.3 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.037 | 1.065 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 51.8% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.6% | 73.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.280 | 0.269 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.5 | 102.3 | |
| Block % | 6.3% | 4.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.1% | 18.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-24 | 33-37 | |
| vs Division | 5-7 | 5-8 | |
| vs Conference | 24-15 | 22-22 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 26-7 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 12-25 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-28-0 | 32-37-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-8-0 | 5-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 24-15-0 | 18-25-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 20-13-0 | 14-19-0 | |
| Away | 19-15-0 | 18-18-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||