Atlanta at Miami: Recap

Wednesday Mar 7, 2012 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 11.5, Total Points: 189

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami ATL 14.5%
MIA 85.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +11.5 ATL 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 188.5 Over 51.0%
Under 49.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +688 ATL +1.8%
MIA -4.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ATL 89.2 88.5 86
MIA 99.5 100.0 89

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Points/Game 118.3 110.1
Avg Score Margin -2.3 +1.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 13.4 12.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 50.1 47.2
Assists/Game 26.6 25.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.4 49.8
Effective FG % 53.9% 53.7%
Off Rebound % 27.0% 22.0%
FTA/FGA 0.252 0.257
Turnover % 11.6% 11.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL MIA
Opp Points/Game 120.6 108.3
Opp Effective FG % 57.3% 54.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 53.9 46.3
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.4 9.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.1 32.9
Blocks/Game 4.5 3.4
Steals/Game 7.5 7.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 17.3