Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 13, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | TD Banknorth Garden, Boston, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 | ATL | +9.0 | 193.0 | +358 |
| 712 | BOS | -9.0 | -415 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | Power Rating Model | Boston 70% odds to win | |
| Boston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Boston 55% odds to win | |
| Boston | Decision Tree | Boston 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +9.0 | Power Rating Model | Atlanta loses by 5.6 | |
| BOS -9.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Boston 53% odds to cover | |
| BOS -9.0 | Decision Tree | Boston 54% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 193.0 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 193.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL +358 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.089 | 1.046 | |
| Effective FG % | 50.6% | 52.5% | |
| Turnover % | 10.9% | 14.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 27.8% | 22.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.290 | 0.332 | |
| Points/Game | 102.4 | 98.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.9 | +4.6 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ATL | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.037 | 0.997 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 49.9% | 48.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.8% | 14.5% | |
| Def Rebound % | 72.6% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.280 | 0.333 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 97.5 | 94.3 | |
| Block % | 6.3% | 6.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.1% | 20.7% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-24 | 43-24 | |
| vs Division | 5-7 | 12-2 | |
| vs Conference | 24-15 | 30-15 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 26-7 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 17-17 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ATL | adv | BOS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 39-28-0 | 27-38-2 | |
| vs Division | 4-8-0 | 7-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 24-15-0 | 21-23-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 20-13-0 | 10-22-1 | |
| Away | 19-15-0 | 17-16-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||