Game Information
| Date | Friday, November 27, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Rose Garden, Portland, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721 | MEM | +11.5 | 194.5 | +704 |
| 722 | POR | -11.5 | -900 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland | Power Rating Model | Portland 83% odds to win | |
| Portland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Portland 89% odds to win | |
| Portland | Decision Tree | Portland 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +11.5 | Power Rating Model | Memphis loses by 11.2 | |
| POR -11.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Portland 50% odds to cover | |
| POR -11.5 | Decision Tree | Portland 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 194.5 | Decision Tree | 57% odds to go under 194.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +704 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.056 | 1.076 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.7% | 49.9% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 11.5% | |
| Off Rebound % | 31.6% | 28.3% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.317 | 0.323 | |
| Points/Game | 102.4 | 98.1 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.7 | +3.1 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.063 | 1.041 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.3% | 74.6% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.271 | 0.295 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 103.1 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 5.9% | 5.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.6% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-33 | 42-28 | |
| vs Division | 3-8 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 18-24 | 26-15 | |
| Streak | L1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 21-15 | 23-13 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 19-15 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-32-2 | 37-32-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-6-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 19-23-0 | 22-18-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 16-18-2 | 16-19-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||