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Memphis at Houston

  Friday Mar 30, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Houston, TX | Odds: Houston by 2, Total Points: 190.5 | Team Pages: MEM | HOU

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM HOU
Points 94.1 103.0
Total Points   197.2
Points From 2-Pointers 68.1 46.7
Points From 3-Pointers 6.7 39.7
Points From Free Throws 19.4 16.7

Shooting MEM HOU
Field Goals Made 36.3 36.6
Field Goals Attempted 76.1 74.2
Field Goal % 47.7% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 34.0 23.4
2 Pointers Attempted 64.9 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 2.2 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 11.2 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 19.9% 55.7%
Free Throws Made 19.4 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 23.9
Free Throw % 74.6% 69.8%

Ball Control MEM HOU
Rebounds 35.0 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 33.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 17.2
Turnovers 12.0 19.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.8
Steals 8.9 5.5
Fouls 18.7 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM HOU
Total Possessions 93.5
Effective Scoring Chances 91.9 91.0

% of Possessions with MEM HOU
2 Point Attempt 61.8% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 10.7% 21.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.0%
Turnover 12.9% 21.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 9.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken MEM HOU
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 41.1%