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Memphis at Houston

  Friday Mar 30, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Houston, TX | Odds: Houston by 2, Total Points: 190.5 | Team Pages: MEM | HOU

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM HOU
Points 91.8 94.2
Total Points   186.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.5 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.2 39.3
Points From Free Throws 20.1 15.8

Shooting MEM HOU
Field Goals Made 33.7 32.6
Field Goals Attempted 82.7 76.0
Field Goal % 40.7% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 69.1 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 13.6 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 20.1 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 22.3
Free Throw % 79.6% 70.8%

Ball Control MEM HOU
Rebounds 48.2 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 33.0 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 13.9
Turnovers 12.6 18.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.8
Steals 9.6 7.4
Fouls 17.8 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM HOU
Total Possessions 95.5
Effective Scoring Chances 98.1 90.8

% of Possessions with MEM HOU
2 Point Attempt 61.4% 37.2%
3 Point Attempt 12.1% 31.3%
Player Fouled 21.2% 18.6%
Turnover 13.2% 19.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 10.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken MEM HOU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 29.6%