Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 11, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719 | MEM | +9.0 | 212.0 | +385 |
| 720 | HOU | -9.0 | -450 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 85% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Houston 86% odds to win | |
| Houston | Decision Tree | Houston 78% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -9.0 | Power Rating Model | Houston wins by 12.6 | |
| MEM +9.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Memphis 55% odds to cover | |
| HOU -9.0 | Decision Tree | Houston 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 212.0 | Decision Tree | 60% odds to go under 212.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -450 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.057 | 1.043 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.8% | 49.4% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 12.8% | |
| Off Rebound % | 31.7% | 27.1% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.314 | 0.294 | |
| Points/Game | 102.7 | 101.9 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.5 | +0.4 | |
| SOS PR | 99.9 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.062 | 1.040 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.5% | 74.1% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.269 | 0.278 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 103.1 | 101.5 | |
| Block % | 5.9% | 4.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 19.2% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-33 | 36-32 | |
| vs Division | 3-8 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 19-24 | 25-18 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 22-15 | 20-15 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-32-2 | 32-36-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-6-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-23-0 | 23-20-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 17-18-2 | 16-19-0 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 16-17-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||