Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Pepsi Center, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 | MEM | +10.5 | 207.0 | +565 |
| 710 | DEN | -10.5 | -625 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Rating Model | Denver 82% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games - Game Winners | Denver 69% odds to win | |
| Denver | Decision Tree | Denver 79% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN -10.5 | Power Rating Model | Denver wins by 10.6 | |
| MEM +10.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Memphis 52% odds to cover | |
| MEM +10.5 | Decision Tree | Memphis 51% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 207.0 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 207.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +565 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.057 | 1.089 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.8% | 51.2% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 12.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 31.7% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.314 | 0.381 | |
| Points/Game | 102.7 | 107.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.5 | +5.2 | |
| SOS PR | 99.9 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.062 | 1.036 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 49.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 13.2% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.5% | 72.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.269 | 0.322 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 103.1 | 102.3 | |
| Block % | 5.9% | 6.1% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 20.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-33 | 47-23 | |
| vs Division | 3-8 | 10-4 | |
| vs Conference | 19-24 | 29-15 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 22-15 | 30-6 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-32-2 | 31-34-5 | |
| vs Division | 5-6-0 | 6-5-3 | |
| vs Conference | 20-23-0 | 18-21-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 17-18-2 | 17-18-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 14-16-4 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||