Game Information
| Date | Sunday, December 13, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 | MEM | +6.5 | 197.5 | +222 |
| 706 | MIA | -6.5 | -250 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 68% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 65% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 77% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +6.5 | Power Rating Model | Memphis loses by 4.7 | |
| MEM +6.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Memphis 60% odds to cover | |
| MIA -6.5 | Decision Tree | Miami 58% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 197.5 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go under 197.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +231 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.057 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.8% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 31.7% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.314 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 102.7 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.5 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 99.9 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.062 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.5% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.269 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 103.1 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 5.9% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-33 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 3-8 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 19-24 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 22-15 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-32-2 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-6-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 20-23-0 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 17-18-2 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||