Memphis at Atlanta

  Thursday Feb 2, 2012 - 7:30 pm - Atlanta, GA | Odds: Atlanta by 4.5, Total Points: 183 | Team Pages: MEM | ATL

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM ATL
Points 113.6 101.5
Total Points   215.1
Points From 2-Pointers 79.5 60.3
Points From 3-Pointers 13.7 32.6
Points From Free Throws 20.4 8.5

Shooting MEM ATL
Field Goals Made 44.3 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.4 81.4
Field Goal % 49.6% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 39.7 30.2
2 Pointers Attempted 71.1 69.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 12.1
3 Point Shooting % 25.0% 90.1%
Free Throws Made 20.4 8.5
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 16.1
Free Throw % 75.0% 52.9%

Ball Control MEM ATL
Rebounds 42.3 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 33.3
Rebounds - Offensive 15.4 17.1
Turnovers 9.5 23.9
Blocked Shots 7.9 4.7
Steals 13.8 5.2
Fouls 17.3 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +2.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM ATL
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 105.3 92.7

% of Possessions with MEM ATL
2 Point Attempt 60.9% 57.9%
3 Point Attempt 15.6% 10.1%
Player Fouled 19.5% 17.4%
Turnover 9.6% 24.0%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 13.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken MEM ATL
Shot Blocked 5.9% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 38.8%