Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 16, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Philips Arena, Atlanta, GA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | MEM | +9.5 | 206.0 | +410 |
| 504 | ATL | -9.5 | -483 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | Power Rating Model | Atlanta 79% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Similar Games - Game Winners | Atlanta 82% odds to win | |
| Atlanta | Decision Tree | Atlanta 86% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +9.5 | Power Rating Model | Memphis loses by 8.9 | |
| ATL -9.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Atlanta 52% odds to cover | |
| ATL -9.5 | Decision Tree | Atlanta 57% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 206.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 206.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +410 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.057 | 1.088 | |
| Effective FG % | 49.8% | 50.5% | |
| Turnover % | 13.1% | 10.9% | |
| Off Rebound % | 31.7% | 28.0% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.314 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 102.7 | 102.3 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -0.5 | +4.8 | |
| SOS PR | 99.9 | 100.2 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.062 | 1.036 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.9% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.7% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.5% | 72.4% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.269 | 0.278 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 103.1 | 97.5 | |
| Block % | 5.9% | 6.3% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.5% | 19.0% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-33 | 44-24 | |
| vs Division | 3-8 | 6-7 | |
| vs Conference | 19-24 | 25-15 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 22-15 | 27-7 | |
| Away | 15-18 | 17-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | ATL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-32-2 | 39-29-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-6-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-23-0 | 24-16-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 17-18-2 | 20-14-0 | |
| Away | 19-14-0 | 19-15-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||