Game Information
| Date | Thursday, December 3, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 | BOS | +1.0 | 188.0 | -107 |
| 702 | SAN | -1.0 | -101 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio | Power Rating Model | San Antonio 55% odds to win | |
| Boston | Similar Games - Game Winners | Boston 51% odds to win | |
| Boston | Decision Tree | Boston 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAN -1.0 | Power Rating Model | San Antonio wins by 1.1 | |
| BOS +1.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Boston 52% odds to cover | |
| BOS +1.0 | Decision Tree | Boston 50% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 188.0 | Decision Tree | 56% odds to go under 188.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAN -108 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BOS | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.046 | 1.071 | |
| Effective FG % | 52.5% | 51.6% | |
| Turnover % | 14.0% | 12.2% | |
| Off Rebound % | 22.6% | 26.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.330 | 0.289 | |
| Points/Game | 98.8 | 101.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.7 | +4.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BOS | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.997 | 1.020 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.2% | 48.4% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 14.5% | 11.6% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 76.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.332 | 0.282 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.1 | 96.6 | |
| Block % | 6.4% | 5.8% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.7% | 19.4% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BOS | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-24 | 41-27 | |
| vs Division | 12-2 | 8-5 | |
| vs Conference | 30-15 | 25-17 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 21-12 | 25-10 | |
| Away | 24-12 | 16-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BOS | adv | SAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-38-2 | 34-33-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-7-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 21-23-1 | 22-19-1 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 10-22-1 | 20-14-1 | |
| Away | 19-16-1 | 14-19-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||