Game Information
| Date | Saturday, November 14, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Conseco Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | BOS | -7.5 | 188.5 | -320 |
| 502 | IND | +7.5 | +281 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | Power Rating Model | Boston 64% odds to win | |
| Indiana | Similar Games - Game Winners | Indiana 56% odds to win | |
| Boston | Decision Tree | Boston 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +7.5 | Power Rating Model | Indiana loses by 3.4 | |
| BOS -7.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Boston 53% odds to cover | |
| IND +7.5 | Decision Tree | Indiana 56% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 188.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go over 188.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND +281 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BOS | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.045 | 0.993 | |
| Effective FG % | 52.4% | 48.1% | |
| Turnover % | 14.0% | 13.3% | |
| Off Rebound % | 22.4% | 21.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.334 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 98.7 | 99.5 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.5 | -5.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BOS | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.998 | 1.044 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.3% | 49.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 14.5% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.2% | 73.4% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.335 | 0.354 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.2 | 104.7 | |
| Block % | 6.4% | 6.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.7% | 20.8% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BOS | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-24 | 21-45 | |
| vs Division | 11-2 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 29-15 | 16-24 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 20-12 | 14-16 | |
| Away | 22-12 | 7-29 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BOS | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 26-38-2 | 30-36-0 | |
| vs Division | 6-7-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-23-1 | 19-21-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-22-1 | 14-16-0 | |
| Away | 17-16-1 | 16-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||