Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 29, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 | BOS | -3.5 | 187.0 | -161 |
| 710 | MIA | +3.5 | +145 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | Power Rating Model | Boston 56% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 50% odds to win | |
| Boston | Decision Tree | Boston 62% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +4.0 | Power Rating Model | Miami loses by 1.4 | |
| BOS -3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Boston 53% odds to cover | |
| BOS -3.5 | Decision Tree | Boston 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 187.0 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go under 187.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +141 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BOS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.046 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 52.5% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 14.0% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 22.6% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.330 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 98.8 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.7 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BOS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.997 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.2% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 14.5% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.332 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 94.1 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 6.4% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 20.7% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BOS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 45-24 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 12-2 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 30-15 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | W4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 21-12 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 24-12 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BOS | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-38-2 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 7-7-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 21-23-1 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | W4 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 10-22-1 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 19-16-1 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||