Boston at Philadelphia: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday May 23, 2012 8:00 pm - Philadelphia, PA
Odds: Philadelphia by 1, Total Points: 175.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BOS PHI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BOS PHI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 87.3 93.6
Field Goal % 48.4% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 46.4 58.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 40.9 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 33.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 19.6
Free Throw % 80.7% 81.7%
Ball Control BOS PHI
Rebounds 54.6 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 41.8 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 13.5
Turnovers 11.5 9.5
Blocked Shots 7.6 4.6
Steals 5.0 6.1
Fouls 14.5 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BOS PHI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BOS PHI
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.7% 30.0%
Player Fouled 17.6% 14.5%
Turnover 11.5% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BOS PHI
Shot Blocked 5.0% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 24.4%