Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 9, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 | CLE | -2.5 | 194.0 | -141 |
| 714 | HOU | +2.5 | +128 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Rating Model | Houston 54% odds to win | |
| Cleveland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Cleveland 64% odds to win | |
| Cleveland | Decision Tree | Cleveland 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +2.5 | Power Rating Model | Houston wins by 0.9 | |
| HOU +2.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Houston 56% odds to cover | |
| HOU +2.5 | Decision Tree | Houston 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 194.0 | Decision Tree | 57% odds to go under 194.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +123 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CLE | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.087 | 1.042 | |
| Effective FG % | 53.6% | 49.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 12.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.2% | 27.4% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.341 | 0.291 | |
| Points/Game | 102.2 | 101.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.2 | +0.2 | |
| SOS PR | 100.2 | 100.3 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CLE | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.011 | 1.040 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 47.7% | 50.3% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.7% | 12.8% | |
| Def Rebound % | 76.9% | 74.2% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.296 | 0.279 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.1 | 101.6 | |
| Block % | 6.9% | 4.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.1% | 19.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CLE | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 52-15 | 34-31 | |
| vs Division | 7-2 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 31-9 | 24-18 | |
| Streak | W3 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 29-4 | 19-14 | |
| Away | 23-11 | 15-17 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CLE | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-32-1 | 30-35-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-4-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 20-20-0 | 22-20-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 15-18-0 | 15-18-0 | |
| Away | 19-14-1 | 15-17-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||