| Date | Sunday, December 20, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 513 | CLE | -3.5 | 188.0 | -182 |
| 514 | DAL | +3.5 | +164 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 56% odds to win | |
| Cleveland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Cleveland 52% odds to win | |
| Cleveland | Decision Tree | Cleveland 59% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL +3.5 | Power Rating Model | Dallas wins by 1.2 | |
| DAL +3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Dallas 56% odds to cover | |
| CLE -3.5 | Decision Tree | Cleveland 51% odds to cover |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 188.0 | Decision Tree | 52% odds to go under 188.0 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL +153 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 16% different from model |
| Stat | CLE | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.087 | 1.061 | |
| Effective FG % | 53.5% | 50.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.3% | 24.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.341 | 0.279 | |
| Points/Game | 102.2 | 101.7 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.2 | +2.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 100.3 |
| Stat | CLE | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.010 | 1.040 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 47.7% | 49.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.7% | 13.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 77.1% | 73.8% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.267 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.0 | 99.6 | |
| Block % | 6.8% | 6.6% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.9% | 17.8% |
| Record | CLE | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 55-15 | 46-23 | |
| vs Division | 10-2 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 34-9 | 24-16 | |
| Streak | W6 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 30-4 | 24-11 | |
| Away | 25-11 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | CLE | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-34-1 | 28-40-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-6-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 21-22-0 | 15-24-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 15-19-0 | 7-27-1 | |
| Away | 20-15-1 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||