Game Information
| Date | Thursday, November 12, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | CLE | +1.0 | 180.0 | +100 |
| 502 | MIA | -1.0 | -110 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 67% odds to win | |
| Cleveland | Similar Games - Game Winners | Cleveland 54% odds to win | |
| Cleveland | Decision Tree | Cleveland 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -1.0 | Power Rating Model | Miami wins by 4.5 | |
| MIA -1.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Miami 62% odds to cover | |
| CLE +1.0 | Decision Tree | Cleveland 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 180.0 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 180.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -110 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 15% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CLE | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.087 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 53.5% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.3% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.341 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 102.2 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.2 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CLE | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.010 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 47.7% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 11.7% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 77.1% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.294 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 95.0 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 6.8% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.9% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CLE | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 55-15 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 10-2 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 34-9 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | W6 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 30-4 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 25-11 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CLE | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-34-1 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 6-6-0 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 21-22-0 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 15-19-0 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 20-15-1 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||