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Cleveland at Memphis

  Monday Apr 23, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN | Odds: Memphis by 12.5, Total Points: 190.5 | Team Pages: CLE | MEM

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLE MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting CLE MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 80.5 82.8
Field Goal % 46.0% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 67.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 20.8
Free Throw % 75.1% 78.4%

Ball Control CLE MEM
Rebounds 46.8 45.5
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.5
Turnovers 13.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.1
Steals 6.5 7.9
Fouls 16.7 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLE MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with CLE MEM
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 62.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 14.4%
Player Fouled 18.4% 17.6%
Turnover 14.3% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken CLE MEM
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 24.9%