Game Information
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 | CHI | +4.0 | 193.0 | +156 |
| 706 | MIA | -4.0 | -166 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Power Rating Model | Miami 65% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games - Game Winners | Miami 69% odds to win | |
| Miami | Decision Tree | Miami 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI +4.0 | Power Rating Model | Chicago loses by 3.7 | |
| CHI +4.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Chicago 53% odds to cover | |
| CHI +4.0 | Decision Tree | Chicago 57% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 193.0 | Decision Tree | 55% odds to go under 193.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA -166 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | CHI | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.001 | 1.029 | |
| Effective FG % | 47.4% | 49.0% | |
| Turnover % | 12.8% | 11.7% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.6% | 25.8% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.284 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 97.2 | 96.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.5 | +1.0 | |
| SOS PR | 99.9 | 100.4 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | CHI | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.027 | 1.018 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.9% | 48.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 12.1% | 13.4% | |
| Def Rebound % | 74.1% | 74.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.285 | 0.328 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 99.7 | 94.9 | |
| Block % | 6.9% | 7.2% | |
| Personal Foul % | 18.6% | 20.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | CHI | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 32-37 | 36-34 | |
| vs Division | 8-5 | 9-7 | |
| vs Conference | 20-21 | 22-19 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 19-14 | 21-16 | |
| Away | 13-23 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | CHI | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 34-33-2 | 34-35-1 | |
| vs Division | 9-3-1 | 8-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 19-21-1 | 20-20-1 | |
| Streak | W4 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 16-15-2 | 17-19-1 | |
| Away | 18-18-0 | 17-16-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||