Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, December 2, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Verizon Center, Washington, DC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | MIL | +3.0 | 197.5 | +139 |
| 504 | WAS | -3.0 | -151 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | Power Rating Model | Milwaukee 52% odds to win | |
| Washington | Similar Games - Game Winners | Washington 66% odds to win | |
| Washington | Decision Tree | Washington 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +3.0 | Power Rating Model | Milwaukee wins by 0.4 | |
| WAS -3.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Washington 57% odds to cover | |
| MIL +3.0 | Decision Tree | Milwaukee 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 197.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go over 197.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +150 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 12% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIL | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.018 | 1.013 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.3% | 47.8% | |
| Turnover % | 12.0% | 13.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.9% | 27.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.239 | 0.287 | |
| Points/Game | 98.1 | 96.3 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.8 | -4.8 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 99.6 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIL | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.999 | 1.063 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.4% | 50.1% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 14.1% | 12.0% | |
| Def Rebound % | 77.0% | 72.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.354 | 0.313 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 96.4 | 101.0 | |
| Block % | 6.2% | 6.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 21.3% | 20.0% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 38-30 | 21-47 | |
| vs Division | 9-5 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 26-15 | 15-27 | |
| Streak | W2 | L11 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 23-9 | 12-22 | |
| Away | 15-21 | 9-25 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 44-23-1 | 29-37-2 | |
| vs Division | 8-6-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 29-11-1 | 18-24-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 20-11-1 | 13-21-0 | |
| Away | 24-12-0 | 16-16-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||