Game Information
| Date | Monday, December 21, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Conseco Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701 | MIL | +1.0 | 198.5 | +102 |
| 702 | IND | -1.0 | -113 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | Power Rating Model | Milwaukee 54% odds to win | |
| Milwaukee | Similar Games - Game Winners | Milwaukee 55% odds to win | |
| Milwaukee | Decision Tree | Milwaukee 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +1.5 | Power Rating Model | Milwaukee wins by 0.9 | |
| IND -1.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Indiana 52% odds to cover | |
| MIL +1.0 | Decision Tree | Milwaukee 53% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 198.5 | Decision Tree | 53% odds to go over 198.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +100 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.018 | 0.996 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.3% | 48.4% | |
| Turnover % | 12.0% | 13.4% | |
| Off Rebound % | 25.9% | 21.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.239 | 0.295 | |
| Points/Game | 98.1 | 99.6 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.8 | -4.9 | |
| SOS PR | 100.1 | 99.7 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.999 | 1.045 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.4% | 49.2% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 14.1% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 77.0% | 73.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.354 | 0.356 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 96.4 | 104.4 | |
| Block % | 6.2% | 6.5% | |
| Personal Foul % | 21.3% | 20.9% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 38-30 | 23-46 | |
| vs Division | 9-5 | 4-10 | |
| vs Conference | 26-15 | 18-25 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 23-9 | 16-16 | |
| Away | 15-21 | 7-30 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 44-23-1 | 33-36-0 | |
| vs Division | 8-6-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 29-11-1 | 22-21-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 20-11-1 | 16-16-0 | |
| Away | 24-12-0 | 17-20-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||