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Milwaukee at Utah

  Tuesday Jan 3, 2012 - 9:00 pm - Salt Lake City, UT | Odds: Milwaukee by 1, Total Points: 186.5 | Team Pages: MIL | UTA

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL UTA
Points 129.9 107.1
Total Points   237.0
Points From 2-Pointers 83.9 72.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.6 18.5
Points From Free Throws 11.5 16.0

Shooting MIL UTA
Field Goals Made 53.5 42.4
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 102.5
Field Goal % 63.3% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 41.9 36.3
2 Pointers Attempted 67.8 77.0
2 Point Shooting % 61.8% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 69.2% 24.2%
Free Throws Made 11.5 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.1 18.7
Free Throw % 87.5% 85.5%

Ball Control MIL UTA
Rebounds 39.7 51.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 2.6 23.1
Turnovers 13.0 10.7
Blocked Shots 8.2 6.8
Steals 6.9 7.3
Fouls 17.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL UTA
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 90.3 113.1

% of Possessions with MIL UTA
2 Point Attempt 64.0% 60.6%
3 Point Attempt 15.7% 20.0%
Player Fouled 13.8% 17.1%
Turnover 12.9% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken MIL UTA
Shot Blocked 6.8% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 8.4% 38.4%