Game Information
| Date | Wednesday, November 25, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | New Orleans Arena, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 | MIL | +2.5 | 199.0 | +120 |
| 712 | NOR | -2.5 | -132 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Rating Model | New Orleans 58% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games - Game Winners | New Orleans 55% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Decision Tree | New Orleans 57% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +2.5 | Power Rating Model | Milwaukee loses by 1.8 | |
| MIL +2.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Milwaukee 54% odds to cover | |
| MIL +2.5 | Decision Tree | Milwaukee 55% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 199.0 | Decision Tree | 50% odds to go over 199.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -132 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.017 | 1.041 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.2% | 50.2% | |
| Turnover % | 12.0% | 12.0% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.0% | 24.7% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.238 | 0.241 | |
| Points/Game | 98.0 | 100.0 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.7 | -2.3 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 0.999 | 1.065 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.6% | 51.8% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 14.1% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 77.3% | 73.9% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.353 | 0.269 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 96.3 | 102.3 | |
| Block % | 6.2% | 4.4% | |
| Personal Foul % | 21.3% | 18.3% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 37-30 | 33-37 | |
| vs Division | 9-5 | 5-8 | |
| vs Conference | 26-15 | 22-22 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 23-9 | 21-12 | |
| Away | 14-21 | 12-25 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 43-23-1 | 32-37-1 | |
| vs Division | 8-6-0 | 5-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 29-11-1 | 18-25-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 20-11-1 | 14-19-0 | |
| Away | 23-12-0 | 18-18-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||