Game Information
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | FedEx Forum, Memphis, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 | MIL | +3.5 | 196.0 | +149 |
| 708 | MEM | -3.5 | -165 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | Power Rating Model | Milwaukee 59% odds to win | |
| Memphis | Similar Games - Game Winners | Memphis 65% odds to win | |
| Memphis | Decision Tree | Memphis 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +3.5 | Power Rating Model | Milwaukee wins by 2.1 | |
| MEM -3.5 | Similar Games - ATS | Memphis 53% odds to cover | |
| MIL +3.5 | Decision Tree | Milwaukee 52% odds to cover |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 196.0 | Decision Tree | 51% odds to go over 196.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIL +149 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 19% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIL | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.017 | 1.056 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.2% | 49.7% | |
| Turnover % | 12.0% | 13.1% | |
| Off Rebound % | 26.0% | 31.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.238 | 0.317 | |
| Points/Game | 97.8 | 102.4 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.6 | -0.7 | |
| SOS PR | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIL | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.000 | 1.063 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 48.6% | 51.9% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 14.1% | 12.7% | |
| Def Rebound % | 77.3% | 73.3% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.353 | 0.271 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 96.2 | 103.1 | |
| Block % | 6.3% | 5.9% | |
| Personal Foul % | 21.3% | 18.6% |
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-30 | 36-33 | |
| vs Division | 9-5 | 3-8 | |
| vs Conference | 26-15 | 18-24 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 23-9 | 21-15 | |
| Away | 13-21 | 15-18 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 42-23-1 | 35-32-2 | |
| vs Division | 8-6-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 29-11-1 | 19-23-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 20-11-1 | 16-18-2 | |
| Away | 22-12-0 | 19-14-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||