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Charlotte at Atlanta

  Wednesday Apr 4, 2012 - 7:30 pm - Atlanta, GA | Odds: Atlanta by 13, Total Points: 185.5 | Team Pages: CHA | ATL

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHA ATL
Points 116.8 120.3
Total Points   237.2
Points From 2-Pointers 71.1 70.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 40.3
Points From Free Throws 27.9 9.1

Shooting CHA ATL
Field Goals Made 41.5 48.9
Field Goals Attempted 103.1 86.5
Field Goal % 40.2% 56.5%
2 Pointers Made 35.5 35.5
2 Pointers Attempted 79.9 70.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 25.6% 86.2%
Free Throws Made 27.9 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 40.5 17.2
Free Throw % 69.0% 52.9%

Ball Control CHA ATL
Rebounds 63.4 44.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 41.4
Rebounds - Offensive 26.1 2.7
Turnovers 6.8 17.4
Blocked Shots 18.8 10.6
Steals 12.7 5.6
Fouls 18.6 21.7

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +2.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHA ATL
Total Possessions 105.6
Effective Scoring Chances 124.9 90.9

% of Possessions with CHA ATL
2 Point Attempt 58.8% 61.2%
3 Point Attempt 17.1% 13.5%
Player Fouled 20.6% 17.6%
Turnover 6.4% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 12.0%

Odds Per Shot Taken CHA ATL
Shot Blocked 13.1% 18.9%
Offensive Rebound 38.7% 6.8%