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Philadelphia at Detroit

  Thursday Apr 26, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Auburn Hills, MI | Odds: Detroit by 8, Total Points: 181.5 | Team Pages: PHI | DET

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI DET
Points 104.4 124.6
Total Points   229.0
Points From 2-Pointers 72.0 93.7
Points From 3-Pointers 11.5 21.0
Points From Free Throws 20.8 10.0

Shooting PHI DET
Field Goals Made 39.9 53.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 85.6
Field Goal % 46.4% 62.9%
2 Pointers Made 36.0 46.8
2 Pointers Attempted 72.0 60.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 77.7%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 14.0 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 27.6%
Free Throws Made 20.8 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 36.7 16.8
Free Throw % 56.7% 59.7%

Ball Control PHI DET
Rebounds 38.8 51.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.5 11.5
Turnovers 8.0 13.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 11.7
Steals 8.6 1.9
Fouls 23.7 23.3

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +3.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI DET
Total Possessions 98.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.7 96.2

% of Possessions with PHI DET
2 Point Attempt 61.3% 54.4%
3 Point Attempt 11.9% 22.8%
Player Fouled 23.7% 24.2%
Turnover 8.2% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 1.9% 8.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken PHI DET
Shot Blocked 13.8% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 32.2%