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Philadelphia at Indiana

  Saturday Apr 21, 2012 - 7:00 pm - Indianapolis, IN | Odds: Indiana by 4.5, Total Points: 190 | Team Pages: PHI | IND

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI IND
Points 81.2 106.7
Total Points   187.9
Points From 2-Pointers 50.0 64.8
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 23.5
Points From Free Throws 16.4 18.4

Shooting PHI IND
Field Goals Made 29.9 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 95.5 76.6
Field Goal % 31.3% 52.5%
2 Pointers Made 25.0 32.4
2 Pointers Attempted 74.5 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 33.5% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 23.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 16.4 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 29.6 24.6
Free Throw % 55.6% 74.6%

Ball Control PHI IND
Rebounds 47.3 63.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 50.9
Rebounds - Offensive 19.8 12.3
Turnovers 7.4 17.6
Blocked Shots 5.0 13.3
Steals 9.3 4.3
Fouls 23.6 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +2.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI IND
Total Possessions 97.2
Effective Scoring Chances 109.7 91.9

% of Possessions with PHI IND
2 Point Attempt 60.9% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 17.1% 19.5%
Player Fouled 18.1% 24.3%
Turnover 7.6% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 4.4% 9.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken PHI IND
Shot Blocked 17.6% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 30.9%