| Date | Monday, November 30, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 | PHI | +12.0 | 197.5 | +860 |
| 504 | DAL | -12.0 | -1100 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | Power Rating Model | Dallas 81% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Similar Games - Game Winners | Dallas 90% odds to win | |
| Dallas | Decision Tree | Dallas 86% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI +11.0 | Power Rating Model | Philadelphia loses by 10.0 | |
| PHI +12.0 | Similar Games - ATS | Philadelphia 60% odds to cover | |
| PHI +12.0 | Decision Tree | Philadelphia 55% odds to cover |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 197.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under 197.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI +658 | Power Rating Model | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
| Stat | PHI | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Off Efficiency | 1.028 | 1.062 | |
| Effective FG % | 48.8% | 50.3% | |
| Turnover % | 12.9% | 11.6% | |
| Off Rebound % | 28.1% | 24.6% | |
| FTA/FGA | 0.272 | 0.280 | |
| Points/Game | 97.2 | 101.8 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.5 | +2.2 | |
| SOS PR | 99.4 | 100.3 |
| Stat | PHI | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Def Efficiency | 1.066 | 1.039 | |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.3% | 49.8% | |
| Opp Turnover % | 13.0% | 12.9% | |
| Def Rebound % | 73.1% | 73.7% | |
| Opp FTA/FGA | 0.290 | 0.267 | |
| Opp Points/Game | 100.7 | 99.6 | |
| Block % | 7.0% | 6.7% | |
| Personal Foul % | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| Record | PHI | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 24-45 | 46-22 | |
| vs Division | 7-8 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 12-29 | 24-16 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 11-22 | 24-10 | |
| Away | 13-23 | 22-12 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | PHI | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 29-40-0 | 28-39-1 | |
| vs Division | 5-10-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 14-27-0 | 15-24-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 10-23-0 | 7-26-1 | |
| Away | 19-17-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||