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Philadelphia at Milwaukee

  Wednesday Apr 25, 2012 - 8:00 pm - Milwaukee, WI | Odds: Milwaukee by 7.5, Total Points: 194 | Team Pages: PHI | MIL

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI MIL
Points 111.8 157.2
Total Points   268.9
Points From 2-Pointers 77.0 111.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.7 22.6
Points From Free Throws 21.0 23.1

Shooting PHI MIL
Field Goals Made 43.1 63.3
Field Goals Attempted 104.5 79.7
Field Goal % 41.2% 79.4%
2 Pointers Made 38.5 55.8
2 Pointers Attempted 85.3 63.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 87.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 23.8% 46.7%
Free Throws Made 21.0 23.1
Free Throws Attempted 37.1 26.4
Free Throw % 56.7% 87.5%

Ball Control PHI MIL
Rebounds 39.4 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 16.1 44.9
Rebounds - Offensive 23.3 1.7
Turnovers 7.6 16.0
Blocked Shots 10.3 16.5
Steals 9.4 4.7
Fouls 23.8 22.0

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +6.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI MIL
Total Possessions 106.4
Effective Scoring Chances 122.1 92.1

% of Possessions with PHI MIL
2 Point Attempt 62.6% 56.6%
3 Point Attempt 14.1% 14.4%
Player Fouled 20.7% 22.3%
Turnover 7.1% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 4.5% 8.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken PHI MIL
Shot Blocked 21.5% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 9.8%