Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | AKR | +7.5 | 46.0 | +244 |
| 166 | BUFF | -7.5 | -275 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Power Ratings | Buffalo 80% odds to win | |
| Buffalo | Similar Games | Buffalo 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF -7.5 | Power Ratings | Buffalo wins by 12.0 | |
| BUFF -7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Buffalo 51% odds to cover | |
| BUFF -7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Buffalo wins by 8.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 46.0 | Similar Games | 60% odds to go over 46.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF -307 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| AKR +270 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | AKR | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 17.3 | 22.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.278 | 0.320 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -14.1 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 288.6 | 396.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.6 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 44.440% | 48.765% | |
| SOS PR | 13.0 | 15.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | AKR | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.4 | 25.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.431 | 0.375 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 389.5 | 354.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 55.0 | 53.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | AKR | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 0-6 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | AKR | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-0 | 4-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 3-4-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 3-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||