Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 385 | MICH | +9.5 | 47.0 | +314 |
| 386 | IOWA | -9.5 | -360 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | Power Ratings | Iowa 87% odds to win | |
| Iowa | Similar Games | Iowa 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA -8.0 | Power Ratings | Iowa wins by 16.6 | |
| IOWA -8.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Iowa 53% odds to cover | |
| IOWA -8.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Iowa wins by 10.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 47.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 47.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA -300 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model | |
| IOWA -300 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MICH | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.5 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.375 | 0.352 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | +8.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 353.4 | 336.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 43.513% | 52.033% | |
| SOS PR | 28.6 | 33.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MICH | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.5 | 15.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.407 | 0.229 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 409.5 | 270.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 2.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.0 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 38.5 | 36.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L7 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 4-3 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 0-4 | 5-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L5 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 1-3-0 | 6-0-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||