| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Worsham Field/Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335 | NCST | +21.0 | 59.0 | +915 |
| 336 | VTEC | -21.0 | -1250 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| VA Tech | Power Ratings | VA Tech 89% odds to win | |
| VA Tech | Similar Games | VA Tech 93% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCST +21.0 | Power Ratings | NC State loses by 18.4 | |
| VTEC -21.0 | Similar Games - Odds | VA Tech 55% odds to cover | |
| VTEC -21.0 | Similar Games - Pts | VA Tech wins by 21.7 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 59.0 | Similar Games | 60% odds to go over 59.0 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCST +915 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| VTEC -1250 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
| Stat | NCST | adv | VTEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.4 | 31.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.354 | 0.487 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.9 | +16.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 376.5 | 392.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 6.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.828% | 52.400% | |
| SOS PR | 31.1 | 31.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | NCST | adv | VTEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 35.3 | 15.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.521 | 0.232 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 408.6 | 295.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 4.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.1 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.3 | +0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.4 | 48.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | NCST | adv | VTEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 0-4 | 5-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | NCST | adv | VTEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-6-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||