Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Groves Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | NCST | +3.0 | 50.5 | +130 |
| 120 | WAKE | -3.0 | -144 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | Power Ratings | NC State 66% odds to win | |
| Wake Forest | Similar Games | Wake Forest 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCST +2.5 | Power Ratings | NC State wins by 5.2 | |
| NCST +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | NC State 54% odds to cover | |
| NCST +2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | NC State loses by 1.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go under 49.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCST +124 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 22% different from model | |
| NCST +124 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NCST | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 25.4 | 25.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.354 | 0.349 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.9 | -2.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 376.5 | 401.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.828% | 53.151% | |
| SOS PR | 31.1 | 30.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NCST | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 35.3 | 28.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.521 | 0.409 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 408.6 | 394.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.1 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.3 | -0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.4 | 55.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NCST | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 0-4 | 1-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NCST | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-6-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 1-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||