Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Friday, November 27, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Bronco Stadium, Boise, ID |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 | NEV | +11.5 | 71.0 | +416 |
| 136 | BSU | -11.5 | -490 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | Power Ratings | Boise State 84% odds to win | |
| Boise State | Similar Games | Boise State 80% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSU -13.5 | Power Ratings | Boise State wins by 14.5 | |
| BSU -13.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Boise State 57% odds to cover | |
| BSU -13.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Boise State wins by 15.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 69.0 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over 69.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSU -500 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
| NEV +423 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NEV | adv | BSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 38.2 | 42.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.544 | 0.615 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.7 | +25.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 506.2 | 455.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 7.2 | 6.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.828% | 49.333% | |
| SOS PR | 21.9 | 30.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NEV | adv | BSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.5 | 17.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.430 | 0.263 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 409.9 | 305.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.2 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 2.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +1.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 61.0 | 56.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NEV | adv | BSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 13-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-1 | 8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W13 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 10-0 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 6-0 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 7-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NEV | adv | BSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||