Game Information
| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Saturday, December 5, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Los Angeles Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 | ARIZ | +7.0 | 49.5 | +239 |
| 320 | USC | -7.0 | -270 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC | Power Ratings | USC 60% odds to win | |
| USC | Similar Games | USC 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ +7.0 | Power Ratings | Arizona loses by 2.9 | |
| USC -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | USC 62% odds to cover | |
| ARIZ +7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Arizona loses by 4.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 49.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ +248 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model | |
| ARIZ +248 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARIZ | adv | USC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.8 | 26.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.412 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.3 | +6.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 369.9 | 389.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.875% | 48.620% | |
| SOS PR | 30.5 | 28.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARIZ | adv | USC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.5 | 19.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.271 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 330.2 | 340.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 4.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | 0.0 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.7 | 61.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARIZ | adv | USC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3 | 5-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 5-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARIZ | adv | USC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 2-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 4-1-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||