Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117 | NWST | +14.0 | 48.0 | +491 |
| 118 | MIST | -14.0 | -590 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan St | Power Ratings | Michigan St 84% odds to win | |
| Michigan St | Similar Games | Michigan St 76% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIST -14.0 | Power Ratings | Michigan St wins by 14.3 | |
| NWST +14.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Northwestrn 61% odds to cover | |
| NWST +14.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Northwestrn loses by 10.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.0 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go under 53.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| NWST +461 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NWST | adv | MIST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.2 | 28.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.293 | 0.438 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.2 | +0.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 397.3 | 399.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.861% | 47.826% | |
| SOS PR | 30.5 | 30.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NWST | adv | MIST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.3 | 28.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.374 | 0.381 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 362.6 | 399.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.9 | 56.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NWST | adv | MIST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 4-2 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NWST | adv | MIST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Streak | W4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 1-5-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 2-3-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||