Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 | NWST | +14.0 | 45.5 | +423 |
| 318 | IOWA | -14.0 | -500 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | Power Ratings | Iowa 90% odds to win | |
| Iowa | Similar Games | Iowa 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA -15.0 | Power Ratings | Iowa wins by 19.3 | |
| NWST +15.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Northwestrn 67% odds to cover | |
| NWST +15.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Northwestrn loses by 10.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 44.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA -620 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| NWST +512 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NWST | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.2 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.293 | 0.352 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -1.2 | +8.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 397.3 | 336.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.861% | 52.033% | |
| SOS PR | 30.5 | 33.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NWST | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.3 | 15.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.374 | 0.229 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 362.6 | 270.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 4.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 2.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.9 | 36.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NWST | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 4-2 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 5-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NWST | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-5-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-1-0 | 6-0-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||