Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 7:35 PM |
| Location | Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 387 | ARIZ | +2.5 | 46.0 | +123 |
| 388 | ORST | -2.5 | -136 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | Power Ratings | Arizona 62% odds to win | |
| Oregon St | Similar Games | Oregon St 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ +2.5 | Power Ratings | Arizona wins by 3.7 | |
| ARIZ +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Arizona 53% odds to cover | |
| ARIZ +2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Arizona loses by 1.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.0 | Similar Games | 60% odds to go under 44.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ +120 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 17% different from model | |
| ARIZ +120 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARIZ | adv | ORST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.8 | 31.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.423 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.3 | +4.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 369.9 | 408.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.875% | 53.454% | |
| SOS PR | 30.5 | 30.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARIZ | adv | ORST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.5 | 26.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.405 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 330.2 | 349.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.7 | 61.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARIZ | adv | ORST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3 | 6-3 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARIZ | adv | ORST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||