Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Saturday, October 31, 2009 |
| Time | 4:00 PM |
| Location | Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 | HAW | +29.0 | 68.5 | +2500 |
| 166 | NEV | -29.0 | -5000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | Power Ratings | Nevada 83% odds to win | |
| Nevada | Similar Games | Nevada 94% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW +28.5 | Power Ratings | Hawaii loses by 13.6 | |
| NEV -28.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Nevada 53% odds to cover | |
| HAW +28.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Hawaii loses by 21.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 68.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 68.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW +2500 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 13% different from model | |
| HAW +2500 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HAW | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.6 | 38.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.326 | 0.544 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.7 | +9.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 439.2 | 506.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.3 | 7.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.640% | 51.828% | |
| SOS PR | 20.5 | 21.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HAW | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.2 | 28.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.443 | 0.430 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 415.7 | 409.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 6.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.7 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.9 | 61.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HAW | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 7-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HAW | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||