Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Spartan Stadium, San Jose, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395 | HAW | -2.5 | 53.5 | -104 |
| 396 | SJST | +2.5 | -106 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawaii | Power Ratings | Hawaii 73% odds to win | |
| Hawaii | Similar Games | Hawaii 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW -2.5 | Power Ratings | Hawaii wins by 8.4 | |
| SJST +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | San Jose St 51% odds to cover | |
| HAW -2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Hawaii wins by 3.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 53.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW -136 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 16% different from model | |
| HAW -136 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | HAW | adv | SJST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.6 | 13.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.326 | 0.202 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.7 | -23.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 439.2 | 272.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.3 | 4.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.640% | 48.351% | |
| SOS PR | 20.5 | 17.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | HAW | adv | SJST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.2 | 36.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.443 | 0.543 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 415.7 | 454.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 6.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.7 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.9 | 45.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | HAW | adv | SJST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7 | 2-10 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | HAW | adv | SJST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 1-10-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 0-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L9 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 1-9-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 0-6-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||