Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 | LAMO | -4.5 | 52.0 | -185 |
| 404 | ULLA | +4.5 | +166 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Monroe | Power Ratings | LA Monroe 57% odds to win | |
| LA Monroe | Similar Games | LA Monroe 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULLA +4.0 | Power Ratings | LA Lafayette loses by 1.9 | |
| LAMO -4.0 | Similar Games - Odds | LA Monroe 55% odds to cover | |
| ULLA +4.0 | Similar Games - Pts | LA Lafayette loses by 2.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.0 | Similar Games | 62% odds to go over 52.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULLA +155 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| LAMO -172 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | LAMO | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.6 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.329 | 0.275 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -7.2 | -11.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 374.2 | 345.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.647% | 50.831% | |
| SOS PR | 15.2 | 15.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | LAMO | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.8 | 31.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.415 | 0.456 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 369.8 | 406.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 58.0 | 51.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | LAMO | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3 | 3-4 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 3-1 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | LAMO | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||