Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 | TENN | -3.0 | 50.0 | -147 |
| 150 | KENT | +3.0 | +133 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | Power Ratings | Kentucky 51% odds to win | |
| Tennessee | Similar Games | Tennessee 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT +2.5 | Power Ratings | Kentucky wins by 0.2 | |
| KENT +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Kentucky 50% odds to cover | |
| KENT +2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Kentucky loses by 1.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 49.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT +126 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 7% different from model | |
| KENT +126 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TENN | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.3 | 25.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.430 | 0.372 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.1 | +1.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 383.6 | 322.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.638% | 50.181% | |
| SOS PR | 34.4 | 32.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TENN | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.2 | 23.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.355 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 318.8 | 368.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | 0.0 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.7 | 40.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TENN | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 2-4 | |
| Away | 1-4 | 4-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TENN | adv | KENT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||