Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347 | TENN | +14.0 | 41.5 | +442 |
| 348 | ALA | -14.0 | -525 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Power Ratings | Alabama 95% odds to win | |
| Alabama | Similar Games | Alabama 84% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA -14.0 | Power Ratings | Alabama wins by 24.7 | |
| TENN +14.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Tennessee 57% odds to cover | |
| TENN +14.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Tennessee loses by 12.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 42.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 42.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA -515 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 11% different from model | |
| ALA -515 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TENN | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.3 | 30.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.430 | 0.443 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.1 | +18.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 383.6 | 413.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 6.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.638% | 53.234% | |
| SOS PR | 34.4 | 40.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TENN | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.2 | 11.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.190 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 318.8 | 255.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +1.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 39.7 | 41.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TENN | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 13-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W13 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 10-0 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 6-0 | |
| Away | 1-4 | 7-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TENN | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 6-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||