Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 4:05 PM |
| Location | Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365 | IDHO | +16.5 | 67.0 | +545 |
| 366 | NEV | -16.5 | -665 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho | Power Ratings | Idaho 55% odds to win | |
| Nevada | Similar Games | Nevada 76% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO +15.5 | Power Ratings | Idaho wins by 1.3 | |
| NEV -15.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Nevada 56% odds to cover | |
| IDHO +15.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Idaho loses by 9.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 67.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 67.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO +523 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 39% different from model | |
| IDHO +523 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IDHO | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.7 | 38.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.485 | 0.544 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.3 | +9.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 451.0 | 506.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 7.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.259% | 51.828% | |
| SOS PR | 19.1 | 21.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IDHO | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 36.0 | 28.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.531 | 0.430 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 433.5 | 409.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 6.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 63.8 | 61.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IDHO | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 7-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 4-2 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IDHO | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-1 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-4-1 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-1 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||