Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 361 | IDHO | +15.0 | 54.0 | +461 |
| 362 | NILL | -15.0 | -550 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| N Illinois | Power Ratings | N Illinois 88% odds to win | |
| N Illinois | Similar Games | N Illinois 86% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NILL -15.0 | Power Ratings | N Illinois wins by 17.9 | |
| NILL -15.0 | Similar Games - Odds | N Illinois 56% odds to cover | |
| NILL -15.0 | Similar Games - Pts | N Illinois wins by 16.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 54.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NILL -600 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| NILL -600 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | IDHO | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 32.7 | 27.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.485 | 0.436 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.3 | +4.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 451.0 | 341.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 5.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.259% | 52.468% | |
| SOS PR | 19.1 | 17.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | IDHO | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 36.0 | 22.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.531 | 0.357 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 433.5 | 338.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 63.8 | 47.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | IDHO | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 4-2 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 4-3 | 2-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | IDHO | adv | NILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-1 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 0-4-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-1 | 2-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||