Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 | TROY | -11.5 | 58.0 | -440 |
| 204 | ULLA | +11.5 | +377 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | Power Ratings | Troy 81% odds to win | |
| Troy | Similar Games | Troy 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY -10.0 | Power Ratings | Troy wins by 12.7 | |
| ULLA +10.0 | Similar Games - Odds | LA Lafayette 58% odds to cover | |
| ULLA +10.0 | Similar Games - Pts | LA Lafayette loses by 7.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 58.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 58.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY -390 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| ULLA +338 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TROY | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 33.7 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.439 | 0.275 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.9 | -11.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 487.7 | 345.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.4 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.277% | 50.831% | |
| SOS PR | 21.9 | 15.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TROY | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.8 | 31.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.399 | 0.456 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 426.7 | 406.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 68.3 | 51.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0 | 3-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-1 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-1 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||