Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | FIU Stadium, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 | TROY | -8.0 | 57.5 | -310 |
| 204 | FIU | +8.0 | +273 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | Power Ratings | Troy 78% odds to win | |
| Troy | Similar Games | Troy 81% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY -8.0 | Power Ratings | Troy wins by 11.0 | |
| TROY -8.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Troy 54% odds to cover | |
| TROY -8.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Troy wins by 10.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 57.5 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go over 57.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY -310 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| TROY -310 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TROY | adv | FIU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 33.7 | 22.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.439 | 0.309 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.9 | -12.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 487.7 | 321.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.4 | 4.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.277% | 44.386% | |
| SOS PR | 21.9 | 14.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TROY | adv | FIU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.8 | 35.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.399 | 0.462 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 426.7 | 491.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 6.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | -0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 68.3 | 62.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | FIU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0 | 2-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 2-3 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 1-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | FIU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-1 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 5-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-1 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||